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	<title>Roger Bate, Author at Filter</title>
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		<title>The Role of NRT Fatally Undermines the Anti-Vape Case</title>
		<link>/nrt-nicotine-vaping/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Roger Bate]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2026 15:04:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[FilterMag]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics + Legalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nicotine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tobacco harm reduction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vaping]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=22417</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Public health authorities insist they are guided by science. But when it comes to nicotine, policy is driven less by ...</p>
<p>The post <a href="/nrt-nicotine-vaping/">The Role of NRT Fatally Undermines the Anti-Vape Case</a> appeared first on <a href="/">Filter</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="wpsdc-drop-cap">P</span>ublic health authorities insist they are guided by science. But when it comes to nicotine, policy is driven less by toxicology than by symbolism. Regulators approve long-term daily nicotine use through patches, gum and lozenges, while portraying nicotine as inherently dangerous when delivered through consumer products like vapes or pouches. This contradiction is neither subtle nor tenable. <b> </b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The belief that nicotine causes most smoking-related diseases is </span><a href="/doctors-nicotine-misperceptions/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">widespread</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">—and wrong. Nicotine’s effects are what keeps people smoking, and its use may lead to dependency. But it is not the direct</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">cause of smoking-related cancer, emphysema or cardiovascular disease. What kills people who smoke is the tar, carbon monoxide, fine particulates and thousands of toxic by-products created by burning tobacco. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">This distinction is well established in science, even if it is often obscured in public messaging. The US Food and Drug Administration has acknowledged that nicotine is not the main cause of smoking-related illness. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention similarly notes that nicotine is not a carcinogen. The World Health Organization’s cancer research arm, the International Agency for Research on Cancer, does not classify nicotine as cancer-causing.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The clearest evidence that regulators do not believe nicotine is inherently unsafe is their attitude to nicotine replacement therapy. Patches, gums, lozenges, sprays and inhalers have been</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">available and medically</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">approved for decades</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">around the world. </span></p>
<blockquote><p>If nicotine were dangerous at these levels, regulators would not allow over-the-counter NRT sales. But they&#8217;ve already made a judgment: Nicotine can be used safely long-term.</p></blockquote>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">They are sold over the counter, recommended by doctors, and often used daily for months or years. Many people who smoke are advised to combine products, such as wearing a 21-milligram patch while also using multiple 4-milligram lozenges per day. Total daily nicotine exposure from approved products routinely reaches 20 to 40 milligrams.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">If nicotine itself were dangerous at these levels,</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">regulators would not allow NRT</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">sales, certainly not over-the-counter. But regulators have already made a clear judgment: Nicotine can be used safely, long-term, when delivered without combustion. This is not a loophole. It is a regulatory admission.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Yet when nicotine is delivered through consumer products rather than medical ones, the tone changes dramatically. The molecule is identical. Doses are often comparable. Toxicant exposure is dramatically lower than smoking. Still, vaping and nicotine pouches are treated as suspect or dangerous, while cigarettes remain widely available.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">This distinction cannot be explained by chemistry or toxicology. Sure, with vaping, trace amounts of other substances are also involved; the dose makes the poison—or in this case, </span><a href="/vaping-chemicals/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">doesn’t</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">. But objections to consumer products widely focus on nicotine itself.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Witness the FDA’s </span><a href="/mind-control-menace-fda-vaping/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">bizarre warnings</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> of the dangers of what it calls “nicotine addiction”—a term that according to modern definitions entails serious harms, not mere dependency. Or the WHO’s </span><a href="https://www.who.int/europe/news/item/05-06-2020-smoking-still-a-core-challenge-for-child-and-adolescent-health-reveals-who-report"><span style="font-weight: 400;">claim</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, among </span><a href="/vaping-seizures-world-health-organization/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">others</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, that exposure to nicotine harms the developing brain—a phenomenon not illustrated by generations who smoked from a young age.</span></p>
<blockquote><p>In reality, it reflects regulators&#8217; discomfort with consumer choice. Medical nicotine is controlled, clinical and gatekept.</p></blockquote>
<p>Allied organizations and researchers pile on. The American Cancer Society, for instance, <a href="https://www.cancer.org/cancer/latest-news/what-to-know-about-nicotine-pouches-and-cancer-risk.html"><span style="font-weight: 400;">obfuscates</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> on the question of whether nicotine is carcinogenic, amid a slew of other warnings about it. And a group of European cardiologists recently </span><a href="/nicotine-cardiovascular-health-experts/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">issued claims</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> that nicotine is a “potent cardiovascular toxin” in calling for restrictions on consumer products.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">NRT is rarely targeted by this outcry. And when regulators know that NRT is safe, their distinction between NRT and vapes or pouches reflects, in reality, their discomfort with consumer choice. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Medical nicotine is controlled, clinical and gatekept. Consumer nicotine disrupts an abstinence-oriented framework that has dominated tobacco control for decades. It also challenges narratives that treat nicotine use as a moral failing rather than a</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">choice on a spectrum of risk.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">One common objection to vaping and other consumer nicotine products is that they deliver nicotine more rapidly than patches or gum, producing sharper “spikes” in blood nicotine levels. These spikes are often portrayed as dangerous. This misunderstands what matters for health.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Cigarettes are uniquely efficient nicotine delivery devices. Smoke inhalation sends nicotine to the brain within seconds, producing sharp arterial spikes repeated many times per day. These spikes matter for cigarette addiction, but they are not what causes disease.</span></p>
<blockquote><p>Trying to hold both positions at once is not precaution. It is incoherence.</p></blockquote>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Nicotine replacement therapies were deliberately designed to avoid rapid spikes, making them less reinforcing—and </span><a href="/vapes-quitting-nrt-cochrane/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">less appealing</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> to many people who want to quit smoking.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Vapes sit between these extremes. Modern devices deliver nicotine faster than patches or gum, but generally slower and at lower peaks than cigarettes. Nicotine pouches deliver nicotine even more gradually.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">But any</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">concern about spikes is really about dependency</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">and subjective effect, not toxicity. That distinction matters. Cancer and mortality are public health threats. Dependency in the absence of serious harms is a mere regulatory issue. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">By refusing to distinguish between nicotine and smoking, regulators produce predictable harms. Cigarettes remain the most accessible nicotine product. Safer alternatives face bans, </span><a href="/vape-flavor-bans-increase-cigarette-sales-canada/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">flavor restrictions</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and regulatory limbo. </span><a href="/illicit-vapes-market-us-uk/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Illicit markets</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> grow.</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">People receive misleading</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">health information. Public trust erodes.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Nicotine replacement therapy quietly acknowledges what public messaging denies: Nicotine can be used safely long-term. Science settled this years ago. Policy has not.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Either nicotine is too dangerous to allow patches and gum, or it is safe enough to allow adults to choose lower-risk consumer alternatives to smoking. Trying to hold both positions at once is not precaution. It is incoherence.</span></p>
<hr />
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><em>Photograph via <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nicoderm.JPG">Wikimedia Commons</a>/<a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/deed.en">Creative Commons 3.0</a></em></p>
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		<item>
		<title>Vapes Increasingly Pushed Underground in the US and UK</title>
		<link>/illicit-vapes-market-us-uk/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Roger Bate]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Mar 2025 14:20:40 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[FilterMag]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics + Legalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FDA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[illicit market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nicotine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vaping]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=20713</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Nicotine vaping products are increasingly being pushed underground in two contrasting jurisdictions, as my recent research illustrates. This sends a ...</p>
<p>The post <a href="/illicit-vapes-market-us-uk/">Vapes Increasingly Pushed Underground in the US and UK</a> appeared first on <a href="/">Filter</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="wpsdc-drop-cap">N</span>icotine vaping products are increasingly being pushed underground in two contrasting jurisdictions, as my recent research illustrates. This sends a damaging message about important harm reduction tools, and threatens consumer safety.</p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The United Kingdom has, up to this point, regulated vaping products to ensure they are safe, taxing them at a fairly low rate to help nudge people from smoking to vaping. The United States, on the other hand, has failed to authorize most vaping products, which has led to illicit markets and confusion for retailers and consumers. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">My </span><a href="https://rogerbate.substack.com/p/uk-and-us-vaping-policy-changes-undermine"><span style="font-weight: 400;">research</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> looks at the consequences of both US and UK authorities making bad decisions, however. The US is increasing enforcement of its bad existing policy, whereas the UK is changing course by </span><a href="/uk-ban-disposable-vapes-2025/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">banning disposable vapes</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and other popular products. </span><b> </b></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has authorized a </span><a href="https://www.fda.gov/tobacco-products/premarket-tobacco-product-applications/premarket-tobacco-product-marketing-granted-orders"><span style="font-weight: 400;">small number</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> of vaping products for sale,</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">in only </span><a href="/fda-menthol-vapes/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">one flavor</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> other than tobacco.</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">It has also created a </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/fda-vapes-vaping-elf-bar-juul-80b2680a874d89b8d651c5e909e39e8f"><span style="font-weight: 400;">legal void</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> by denying authorization to thousands of other products in a wide range of flavors—often far more popular than the authorized alternatives.  </span></p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Several convenience store owners I spoke with in the Philadelphia suburbs were pulling products from their shelves as a result of FDA actions.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The result is a massive illicit market in the US. In a recent analysis of discarded vaping packs, conducted across several states by the market research group </span><a href="https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/healthcare/3020885/majority-disposed-vapes-dc-exported-china-study/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">WSPM</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, an astonishing 97 percent were not authorized to be sold. I also found most products sold were unauthorized in my own past </span><a href="https://laweconcenter.org/resources/schrodingers-vapes-how-confusing-vape-regulations-harm-consumer-choice-and-safety/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">research</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The FDA has started going after legal retailers of products of dubious legality, </span><a href="https://www.fda.gov/tobacco-products/ctp-newsroom/working-states-fda-warns-more-100-retailers-illegal-sale-youth-appealing-e-cigarettes-including-geek"><span style="font-weight: 400;">threatening</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> them with fines and other legal actions. Several convenience store owners I spoke with in the Philadelphia suburbs were pulling products from their shelves as a result. These stores were all making over</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">$2,000 per week in vape sales revenue in 2024, but were sent warning letters by the FDA towards the end of that year.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">None of the store owners were sure how serious the FDA’s threats might be, but one of the owners had removed all</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">unauthorized vaping products from his store and was left with just three brands on sale: all tobacco flavors made by a major tobacco company. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Every owner I spoke with</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">said they had taken “legal advice.” Yet they were not unduly worried, because all of them still earn far more from cigarette sales</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">than they do from vapes.</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-weight: 400;">One unregulated vendor I interviewed was making over $700 per week selling disposable vapes—</span><span style="font-weight: 400;">up from almost nothing a year prior.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">unauthorized vaping products they were selling are now being sold instead on city streets, and at informal outlets like flea markets across suburbs, by vendors who often also sell illicit drugs.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">One vendor I interviewed was making over $700 per week selling disposable vapes. That isn’t much money compared with his business</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">selling state-banned drugs, but it’s up from almost nothing a year prior. All traders watch for changes in demand, and if people cannot buy vapes legally, illicit sellers are happy to supply them. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The problems with this are evident. Accountability for product quality and standards is lost, which could pose health risks for consumers</span><b>.</b><span style="font-weight: 400;"> Unregulated traders have no incentive to adhere to age restrictions. And when informal markets are harder for many people to access, there’s a strong chance that vapers who used to smoke will revert to combustible tobacco—which is both deadly and readily available.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">In the UK, meanwhile, the illicit vapes market has jumped from very low levels three years ago to</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">31 percent,</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">according to my latest sampling in February. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The UK’s ban on disposable vaping products is not due to take effect until June. But it appears that anticipation of it—with stores </span><a href="https://www.betterretailing.com/disposable-vape-phase-out-starts-in-most-shops/"><span style="font-weight: 400;">phasing out</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> sales of disposables—may already be driving that part of the market </span><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/business-68099182"><span style="font-weight: 400;">underground</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">When it comes to refillable vapes, as regulatory expert Clive Bates told me, it is likely that Brits “prefer the products with larger tank sizes” that are illegal in the UK.</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-weight: 400;"> Smoking is the real threat—and when vapes are substitution products, banning or restricting them is liable to increase smoking. </span></p></blockquote>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">In the US, it is essential for the FDA to do a better job.</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">One of the first tasks</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">for Dr. Marty Makary, the incoming head of the agency, should</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">be to speed up authorizations of good-quality vaping products that are currently in a legal limbo. A robust legal market of products consumers actually want</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">must be the goal.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">In the UK, the illicit market is still</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">relatively small at present, with the majority of discarded packs reflecting legal sales. However, the recent surge in this market—with my latest numbers far higher than just a year earlier—should be cause for concern. Bans and restrictions will only fuel it further.  </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The UK should revert to its former position of encouraging</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">legal uptake of good-quality products and reverse its disposables ban. Recent </span><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/mar/19/smoking-rates-in-parts-of-england-rise-for-first-time-since-2006-study-shows"><span style="font-weight: 400;">evidence</span></a> <span style="font-weight: 400;">shows that smoking rates</span> <span style="font-weight: 400;">in parts of England are rising for the first time in 20 years, and this is likely linked to the clampdown on vaping. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">My sample sizes are small, and may not reflect the wider markets. But my research can be added to other evidence signaling terrible outcomes for public health. Smoking is the real threat—and when vapes are substitution products, banning or restricting them is liable to increase smoking. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The vaping products consumers want must be legally available on both sides of the Atlantic. When that happens, tax policies that encourage switching from smoking to vaping will also be </span><a href="https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/taxing-alternative-tobacco-products/.%20"><span style="font-weight: 400;">vital</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">. </span></p>
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<p><em>Photograph by Engin Akyurt <a href="https://www.pexels.com/photo/one-hundred-dollar-banknote-money-in-back-pocket-jeans-pants-18066365/">via</a> Pexels </em></p>
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